The North Texas real estate market is shifting… not collapsing, not overheating… but recalibrating into a healthier, more balanced environment. As a REALTOR® who studies the data closely and serves clients across DFW, I believe this season presents incredible opportunity for both buyers and sellers — if you understand what the numbers are truly saying.
Every month I review county-by-county performance to interpret the trends behind the trends. Here’s a clear, easy-to-understand breakdown of what’s happening in the six major North Texas counties: Parker, Collin, Denton, Dallas, Tarrant, and Johnson.
Sales Are Down Across North Texas — And That’s Normal in This Rate Environment
In November 2025, every county saw a decline in closed sales, ranging from roughly 5% to 15%. While headlines may try to sensationalize this, the reality is simple:
High interest rates have paused buyers… not erased them.
This creates pent-up demand. When rates ease — even slightly — we historically see buyers surge back into the market. Today’s slowdown is tomorrow’s acceleration.
Inventory Is Rising, Creating More Opportunities for Buyers
Active listings grew across all major counties, especially Collin (+27.5%), Denton (+21.4%), and Dallas (+10.8%). After years of tight inventory, this shift gives buyers something they haven’t felt in a long time…
Breathing room. Options. Negotiation leverage.
For homeowners thinking about selling, this means:
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Your pricing strategy matters more than ever
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Presentation and marketing make a bigger impact
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Correct positioning can help you stand out in a more competitive landscape
Prices Are Normalizing — Not Crashing
Outside of Parker County (where prices increased 2.0%), most counties saw slight price declines. This is not a downturn. It’s a market correction after several years of record-setting appreciation.
Price normalization benefits the entire ecosystem:
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Buyers gain access
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Sellers with realistic expectations still achieve strong results
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The market becomes more sustainable long-term
County-by-County Market Breakdown
Parker County
Stable, slower-moving market with rising prices and longer days on market. More insulated from rapid swings.
Collin County
Significant inventory jump indicates a market leveling after years of growth. Buyers have solid leverage here.
Denton County
Largest YOY pricing drop in the region. This county is experiencing an affordability reset.
Dallas County
Prices held relatively firm while sales declined sharply. Urban buyers remain cautious but engaged.
Tarrant County
Moderate, steady correction. A more balanced environment is emerging.
Johnson County
Rural dynamics mean slower movement, but trends mirror the broader region.
What Buyers Should Know Right Now
If you’ve been waiting for the right moment, this is one of the best environments we’ve seen in years:
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More listings are available
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Negotiation is back on the table
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Sellers are more open to concessions and rate buydowns
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Days on market are increasing
The market is giving buyers space to think, choose, and act with intention.
What Sellers Should Know Right Now
Homes are still selling — but pricing, preparation, and marketing matter more than ever.
To win in this market, sellers should prioritize:
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Strategic pricing
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Strong digital presentation
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Negotiation awareness
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Partnering with an agent who understands real-time data
This is not 2021… but it’s still a strong environment for well-positioned homes.
Expert Insight: Where the North Texas Market Is Heading
My personal take?
We are in a holding pattern… but not for long.
The moment mortgage rates ease — even half a point — the pent-up demand waiting on the sidelines will re-enter. Buyers who hit pause today will be competing again tomorrow.
This is the season to prepare — not wait.
Thinking About Buying or Selling in 2026? Let’s Build Your Strategy.
Whether you’re relocating, upsizing, downsizing, or simply curious about your home’s current value, I’d love to walk with you through this market.
📩 Request a personalized market report
📞 Call or text me directly: 817-791-0631
🌐 Visit: RLWRealEstate.com
You deserve clarity, confidence, and a strategy built for your goals.
Let’s prepare today… so you can move boldly tomorrow.